TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhao Zhao and Xinyuan Xie in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhao Zhao' if Zhao Zhao advances against Xinyuan Xie. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Zhao Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhao Zhao and Xinyuan Xie in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhao Zhao' if Zhao Zhao advances against Xinyuan Xie. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Zhao Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. The market's liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influences how efficiently the price reflects information. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match between Zhao Zhao and Xinyuan Xie. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available information to determine the winner and settle the market. Traders should monitor external sources to stay informed about the event's progress and potential resolution triggers, as this will impact the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or strategic changes could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from experts in the Qian Daohu scene could sway the market. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also lead traders to reassess the probabilities, causing fluctuations in the price of shares in this market.