TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 6:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ye Hongyu and Tsung-Hao Huang in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ye Hongyu' if Ye Hongyu advances against Tsung-Hao Huang. This market will resolve to 'Tsung-Hao Huang' if Tsung-Hao Huang advances against Ye Hongyu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ye Hongyu and Tsung-Hao Huang in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ye Hongyu' if Ye Hongyu advances against Tsung-Hao Huang. This market will resolve to 'Tsung-Hao Huang' if Tsung-Hao Huang advances against Ye Hongyu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially in events where public perception differs from expert opinion. Observing these differences can be insightful, as both sources represent informed estimates of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's efficiency depends on active trading and the availability of information.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ye Hongyu vs Tsung-Hao Huang match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official channels for the final result and confirmation of resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their training regimens would likely cause shifts in the odds. Public announcements about team strategies or tactical approaches could also influence trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other related matches or tournaments might affect overall confidence in the players. Finally, any significant media coverage or expert analysis offering a strong opinion on the match's likely outcome could drive volume and price movements.