TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xirui Han and Yuan Cheng Yang in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xirui Han' if Xirui Han advances against Yuan Cheng Yang. This market will resolve to 'Yuan Cheng Yang' if Yuan Cheng Yang advances against Xirui Han. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xirui Han and Yuan Cheng Yang in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xirui Han' if Xirui Han advances against Yuan Cheng Yang. This market will resolve to 'Yuan Cheng Yang' if Yuan Cheng Yang advances against Xirui Han. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Xirui Han vs Yuan Cheng Yang match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Xirui Han vs Yuan Cheng Yang match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in prior matches, public statements from players or coaches, and even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also contribute to price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either Xirui Han or Yuan Cheng Yang winning will likely be reflected in the market prices.