TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between XIAOYIN YANG and Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'XIAOYIN YANG' if XIAOYIN YANG advances against Xing Dao Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against XIAOYIN YANG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between XIAOYIN YANG and Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'XIAOYIN YANG' if XIAOYIN YANG advances against Xing Dao Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against XIAOYIN YANG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks incorporate factors like team statistics and expert analysis, this market represents the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating opinions from a diverse range of participants. Often, prediction markets can provide an early indication of potential outcomes, sometimes differing from initial sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies arise due to differing information access and weighting of factors, and these differences can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants. The current price reflects the collective assessment of the Qian Daohu match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match, as determined by the event organizers and reported by established sports news sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Public statements from coaches or players, as well as expert analysis, might also influence the odds. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market leading up to the Qian Daohu match.