TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between XIAOYIN YANG and Jinzheng Li in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'XIAOYIN YANG' if XIAOYIN YANG advances against Jinzheng Li. This market will resolve to 'Jinzheng Li' if Jinzheng Li advances against XIAOYIN YANG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between XIAOYIN YANG and Jinzheng Li in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'XIAOYIN YANG' if XIAOYIN YANG advances against Jinzheng Li. This market will resolve to 'Jinzheng Li' if Jinzheng Li advances against XIAOYIN YANG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and insights regarding the Qian Daohu match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match, as declared by the relevant governing body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments might also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook, causing the odds to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.