TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 6:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul and Jordan Chiu in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul' if Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul advances against Jordan Chiu. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Chiu' if Jordan Chiu advances against Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul and Jordan Chiu in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul' if Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul advances against Jordan Chiu. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Chiu' if Jordan Chiu advances against Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow traders to adjust their positions based on new information. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes differ due to factors like house bias or differing risk assessments. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the probabilities involved with this market. Analyzing the differences can reveal potential value opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving the price up and increased selling pressure driving it down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match between Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul and Jordan Chiu. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location could also cause movement. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from experts in the game could sway traders’ opinions, leading to shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on opportunities within this market.