TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Isaac Becroft in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Isaac Becroft. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Becroft' if Isaac Becroft advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Isaac Becroft in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Isaac Becroft. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Becroft' if Isaac Becroft advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to express their own informed opinions, leading to odds that may diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not easily quantifiable. Comparing these odds can reveal where the market disagrees with conventional wisdom.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in real-time based on new information and trading activity. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Derepasko vs Becroft match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The process aims to be transparent and based on objectively verifiable data.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or strategic changes could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also impact the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also cause traders to reassess their positions. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential movements in this market before Oct 21, 2026.