TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng and Daisuke Sumizawa in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Daisuke Sumizawa. This market will resolve to 'Daisuke Sumizawa' if Daisuke Sumizawa advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng and Daisuke Sumizawa in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Daisuke Sumizawa. This market will resolve to 'Daisuke Sumizawa' if Daisuke Sumizawa advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the collective expectation for the Qian Daohu fight, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu fight between Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng and Daisuke Sumizawa, as declared by the relevant governing body. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome, allowing for accurate settlement of the market and providing clarity for all participants. The outcome will be determined by the official fight result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds for this market. News regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also play a role. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, might cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids, leading to price movements in the Qian Daohu fight market.