TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shijie Chen and Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shijie Chen' if Shijie Chen advances against Xing Dao Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against Shijie Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shijie Chen and Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shijie Chen' if Shijie Chen advances against Xing Dao Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against Shijie Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is influenced by factors like news reports, expert analysis, and overall market sentiment surrounding the Qian Daohu match. Trading volume and open interest also play a role in price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match, as declared by the governing body. The market will determine which competitor, Shijie Chen or Xing Dao Chen, is declared the winner of the match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also have an impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in expert predictions and social media discussions, can also play a role. Major upsets in other related matches or events could indirectly affect trader confidence and influence the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these factors can help you anticipate potential movements.