TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shanghui Li and Lingxi Zhao in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shanghui Li' if Shanghui Li advances against Lingxi Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Lingxi Zhao' if Lingxi Zhao advances against Shanghui Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shanghui Li and Lingxi Zhao in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shanghui Li' if Shanghui Li advances against Lingxi Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Lingxi Zhao' if Lingxi Zhao advances against Shanghui Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated views of all participants. The current price movements indicate how traders are assessing the potential for each player to win.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghui Li vs Lingxi Zhao match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the commission fee, while shares in the losing outcome will be worth nothing.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness levels would likely cause significant movement. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, can also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either Shanghui Li or Lingxi Zhao winning will likely be reflected in the market price.