TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 6:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Matthew Shearer in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Matthew Shearer. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Shearer' if Matthew Shearer advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Matthew Shearer in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Matthew Shearer. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Shearer' if Matthew Shearer advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the Qian Daohu match outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different user bases and may focus on different aspects of the event, leading to differing probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match between Sergey Fomin and Matthew Shearer, as reported by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to their share holdings, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares. The exact details of the resolution process are outlined on Polymarket.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could shift trader sentiment. Public statements from either Sergey Fomin or Matthew Shearer, or analysis from Go experts, could also impact the market. Unexpected developments in the broader Qian Daohu scene or significant shifts in betting patterns on Polymarket could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the match has the potential to affect trading activity and price fluctuations.