TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Beamish and Yue Xia in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nick Beamish' if Nick Beamish advances against Yue Xia. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Nick Beamish. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Beamish and Yue Xia in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nick Beamish' if Nick Beamish advances against Yue Xia. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Nick Beamish. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Qian Daohu match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome being true. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential results, driven by informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match as declared by the governing body. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding the form or potential injuries of Nick Beamish or Yue Xia would likely have a significant impact. Public analysis of their playing styles and head-to-head records could also sway market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or changes to the tournament format could introduce volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each player’s chances of winning the Qian Daohu match is likely to be reflected in the market price.