TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 6:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Shearer and Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Shearer' if Matthew Shearer advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Matthew Shearer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Shearer and Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Shearer' if Matthew Shearer advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Matthew Shearer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer different perspectives, potentially identifying information not fully reflected in traditional betting markets. Discrepancies can arise from varying levels of information access, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own assessment of the Qian Daohu match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the Qian Daohu match's potential results. The current volume indicates significant interest in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match between Matthew Shearer and Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng, as reported by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the market and distributing payouts to winning share holders.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their strategies could influence trading activity. Public statements from analysts or commentators offering predictions about the Qian Daohu match could also shift sentiment. Unexpected developments related to the event's organization or location might also cause fluctuations in the market, as traders adjust their expectations based on new information.