TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Borisiouk and Sergey Fomin in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Borisiouk' if Martin Borisiouk advances against Sergey Fomin. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Martin Borisiouk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Borisiouk and Sergey Fomin in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Borisiouk' if Martin Borisiouk advances against Sergey Fomin. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Martin Borisiouk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds can reveal interesting differences in how various groups assess the likely outcome. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest and information available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a common benchmark for understanding the perceived probabilities of each outcome in the Qian Daohu match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Qian Daohu match's potential results, driven by the actions of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match as declared by the governing body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could influence trading activity. Public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could also shift sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also affect the perceived probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of either player’s chances of winning the Qian Daohu match has the potential to impact the market price.