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OPEN INTEREST:
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419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
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4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 1:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Borisiouk and Lingxi Zhao in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Borisiouk' if Martin Borisiouk advances against Lingxi Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Lingxi Zhao' if Lingxi Zhao advances against Martin Borisiouk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Borisiouk and Lingxi Zhao in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Borisiouk' if Martin Borisiouk advances against Lingxi Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Lingxi Zhao' if Lingxi Zhao advances against Martin Borisiouk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or public perception. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to attract action, whereas this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome of the Qian Daohu match. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as the crowd adjusts its assessment of the likely winner.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Qian Daohu match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current market price indicates what the crowd, as a whole, believes is the likelihood of a particular result in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match, as declared by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The outcome will be determined by which player, Martin Borisiouk or Lingxi Zhao, is declared the winner of the match. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in their training regimens could significantly shift expectations. Public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions for the Qian Daohu match could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in the broader competitive landscape, or even shifts in public sentiment, could also contribute to price movements as traders adjust their positions based on new information.