TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 6:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Borisiouk and Kristjan Tamm in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Borisiouk' if Martin Borisiouk advances against Kristjan Tamm. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Martin Borisiouk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Borisiouk and Kristjan Tamm in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Borisiouk' if Martin Borisiouk advances against Kristjan Tamm. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Martin Borisiouk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the Qian Daohu match, and is influenced by factors such as player form, historical data, and public perception.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match between Martin Borisiouk and Kristjan Tamm, as determined by the event organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome, allowing for accurate settlement of the market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, major upsets in related events or shifts in public sentiment could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in the Qian Daohu match.