TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristjan Tamm and Yue Xia in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Yue Xia. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Kristjan Tamm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristjan Tamm and Yue Xia in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Yue Xia. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Kristjan Tamm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of individuals, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many bettors. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome increases. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is less likely, the price decreases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly represents the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect changing expectations about the Tamm vs Xia match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tamm vs Xia match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not. The precise details of the outcome verification process are outlined on Polymarket.
Several factors could significantly impact trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also influence trading behavior. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.