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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 1:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristjan Tamm and Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Xing Dao Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against Kristjan Tamm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristjan Tamm and Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Xing Dao Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against Kristjan Tamm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks primarily rely on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially factoring in less quantifiable elements. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, leading to odds adjustments that may differ significantly.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tamm vs Chen match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of the match and their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Public statements from players or coaches, as well as analysis from sports commentators, might also impact the market. Unexpected weather conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either athlete winning will likely cause movement in this market.