TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaigaoge Kang and Matthew Dellavedova in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaigaoge Kang' if Kaigaoge Kang advances against Matthew Dellavedova. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Kaigaoge Kang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaigaoge Kang and Matthew Dellavedova in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaigaoge Kang' if Kaigaoge Kang advances against Matthew Dellavedova. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Kaigaoge Kang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome in the Kaigaoge Kang vs Dellavedova match, the odds here may diverge. This difference can stem from access to unique information or differing interpretations of available data, offering a potentially valuable signal for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the Kaigaoge Kang vs Dellavedova match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Kaigaoge Kang vs Dellavedova match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the event. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any updates or potential delays.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries to either Kaigaoge Kang or Matthew Dellavedova, changes in team strategy, or even significant shifts in public perception could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates related to the players and the event is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could impact this market.