TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Zhu and Egor Pleshivtsev in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Egor Pleshivtsev. This market will resolve to 'Egor Pleshivtsev' if Egor Pleshivtsev advances against Evan Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Zhu and Egor Pleshivtsev in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Egor Pleshivtsev. This market will resolve to 'Egor Pleshivtsev' if Egor Pleshivtsev advances against Evan Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring as assessed by traders. Therefore, differences can arise due to varying levels of expertise, access to information, and the motivations of participants in this market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to converge on a consensus probability. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the chance of a specific result in the Qian Daohu match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match as declared by the event organizers. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several signals could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Pre-match analysis from esports experts, public polls, and even social media discussions could also contribute to price movements. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Qian Daohu match has the potential to move this market.