TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 2:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anthony Susanto and Martin Borisiouk in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anthony Susanto' if Anthony Susanto advances against Martin Borisiouk. This market will resolve to 'Martin Borisiouk' if Martin Borisiouk advances against Anthony Susanto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anthony Susanto and Martin Borisiouk in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anthony Susanto' if Anthony Susanto advances against Martin Borisiouk. This market will resolve to 'Martin Borisiouk' if Martin Borisiouk advances against Anthony Susanto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and marketing efforts into their lines, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information or varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to observe that prediction markets, like this one, can be more efficient at incorporating new information quickly, leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook offerings. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match between Anthony Susanto and Martin Borisiouk. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed using publicly available information and established standards for verifying competitive match results. The final outcome will determine which shares pay out at 1 USDC each, while the remaining shares will be worth 0 USDC.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding the players’ recent performance, any reported injuries or changes in their training regimens, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all play a role. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could temporarily impact the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available and more traders participate.