TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vit Kalina and Duje Markovina in the M25 Norman, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:01PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kalina' if Vit Kalina advances against Duje Markovina. This market will resolve to 'Duje Markovina' if Duje Markovina advances against Vit Kalina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vit Kalina and Duje Markovina in the M25 Norman, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:01PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kalina' if Vit Kalina advances against Duje Markovina. This market will resolve to 'Duje Markovina' if Duje Markovina advances against Vit Kalina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to $1, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kalina vs Markovina match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The market will then determine the winning outcome based on this official result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception and media coverage surrounding the players and their recent performance can also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market.