TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Spencer Papa and Fanming Meng in the M25 Norman, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:01PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Papa' if Spencer Papa advances against Fanming Meng. This market will resolve to 'Fanming Meng' if Fanming Meng advances against Spencer Papa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Spencer Papa and Fanming Meng in the M25 Norman, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:01PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Papa' if Spencer Papa advances against Fanming Meng. This market will resolve to 'Fanming Meng' if Fanming Meng advances against Spencer Papa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and the odds will shift based on the collective predictions of participants. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to more accurate probabilities, though discrepancies can still occur.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Spencer Papa vs Fanming Meng match. Any official results or announcements will be used to determine the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as any delays or changes to the event schedule could impact the timing of settlement.
Several signals could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also cause shifts in sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts or commentators could sway traders' opinions, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move this market before it resolves.