TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lui Maxted and Pablo Martinez Gomez in the M25 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Pablo Martinez Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Martinez Gomez' if Pablo Martinez Gomez advances against Lui Maxted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lui Maxted and Pablo Martinez Gomez in the M25 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Pablo Martinez Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Martinez Gomez' if Pablo Martinez Gomez advances against Lui Maxted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing risk assessments and market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lui Maxted vs Pablo Martinez Gomez match in M25 Norman, OK. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the trading fee, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in prior matches for either Lui Maxted or Pablo Martinez Gomez would also likely cause price movement. Additionally, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could impact trading activity and alter the implied probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.