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$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Lieberman and Ilia Snitari in the M25 Norman, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry Lieberman' if Henry Lieberman advances against Ilia Snitari. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Snitari' if Ilia Snitari advances against Henry Lieberman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Lieberman and Ilia Snitari in the M25 Norman, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry Lieberman' if Henry Lieberman advances against Ilia Snitari. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Snitari' if Ilia Snitari advances against Henry Lieberman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders who have 'skin in the game'. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more accurate, especially when there's significant public interest and informed trading activity. It's common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks may prioritize balancing their risk, while this market focuses on the perceived probability of the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Lieberman vs Snitari match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived from the share price, offering a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lieberman vs Snitari match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is officially declared.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment and cause the odds to shift. Unexpected announcements about player form or potential tactical adjustments could also be significant catalysts. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes create short-term price movements, reflecting a change in overall market perception of the Lieberman vs Snitari match.