TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Asahi Harazaki and Bor Artnak in the M25 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Asahi Harazaki' if Asahi Harazaki advances against Bor Artnak. This market will resolve to 'Bor Artnak' if Bor Artnak advances against Asahi Harazaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Asahi Harazaki and Bor Artnak in the M25 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Asahi Harazaki' if Asahi Harazaki advances against Bor Artnak. This market will resolve to 'Bor Artnak' if Bor Artnak advances against Asahi Harazaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant disparity exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and probability. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Asahi Harazaki vs Bor Artnak match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant trading volume from well-informed traders could signal new information or a change in the market's outlook, potentially leading to price fluctuations.