TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 2:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Melero Kretzer and Aidan Mchugh in the M25 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Melero Kretzer' if Alejandro Melero Kretzer advances against Aidan Mchugh. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mchugh' if Aidan Mchugh advances against Alejandro Melero Kretzer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Melero Kretzer and Aidan Mchugh in the M25 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Melero Kretzer' if Alejandro Melero Kretzer advances against Aidan Mchugh. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mchugh' if Aidan Mchugh advances against Alejandro Melero Kretzer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information and insights beyond those captured by traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets allow anyone to trade, incorporating a wider range of perspectives and potentially identifying mispriced probabilities. While sportsbooks rely on oddsmakers, this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Melero Kretzer vs Mchugh match. Comparing these odds can offer a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will happen, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Melero Kretzer vs Mchugh match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Melero Kretzer vs Mchugh match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Alejandro Melero Kretzer or Aidan Mchugh could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis or public perception of the players’ chances could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.