TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alastair Gray and Luca Pow in the M25 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alastair Gray' if Alastair Gray advances against Luca Pow. This market will resolve to 'Luca Pow' if Luca Pow advances against Alastair Gray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alastair Gray and Luca Pow in the M25 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alastair Gray' if Alastair Gray advances against Luca Pow. This market will resolve to 'Luca Pow' if Luca Pow advances against Alastair Gray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the influence of public opinion. Comparing these odds can highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, offering opportunities for informed trading.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly the price responds to new information or shifts in opinion, creating a dynamic pricing environment.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alastair Gray vs Luca Pow match. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed using widely available and reliable sources to determine the definitive winner. The platform will then finalize the payouts based on the final outcome and the shares held by each trader.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or schedule could also introduce volatility. Furthermore, public sentiment and expert analysis shared on social media or sports news outlets can sway trader opinions and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before Nov 6, 2026.