TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Suraj R Prabodh and Mayank Sharma in the M25 Mumbai, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Suraj R Prabodh' if Suraj R Prabodh advances against Mayank Sharma. This market will resolve to 'Mayank Sharma' if Mayank Sharma advances against Suraj R Prabodh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Suraj R Prabodh and Mayank Sharma in the M25 Mumbai, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Suraj R Prabodh' if Suraj R Prabodh advances against Mayank Sharma. This market will resolve to 'Mayank Sharma' if Mayank Sharma advances against Suraj R Prabodh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant disparity exists, arbitrage opportunities might arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and can incorporate information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Mumbai tennis match between Suraj R Prabodh and Mayank Sharma. The platform will verify the results against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be rewarded based on their holdings in the winning share(s).
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news, player statistics, and the trading volume on the platform are all ways to stay informed about potential catalysts.