TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 6:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samir Banerjee and Samarth Sahita in the M25 Mumbai, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samir Banerjee' if Samir Banerjee advances against Samarth Sahita. This market will resolve to 'Samarth Sahita' if Samarth Sahita advances against Samir Banerjee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samir Banerjee and Samarth Sahita in the M25 Mumbai, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samir Banerjee' if Samir Banerjee advances against Samarth Sahita. This market will resolve to 'Samarth Sahita' if Samarth Sahita advances against Samir Banerjee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that prediction markets often incorporate more diverse information and can adjust more quickly to new developments than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders participating. As new information becomes available, traders adjust their positions, causing the price to reflect the updated probabilities. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Mumbai tennis match between Samir Banerjee and Samarth Sahita, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player will determine the outcome of this market, and the platform will verify this information against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The outcome will be determined by who wins the match.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the M25 Mumbai tennis match has the potential to impact the price of shares in this market.