TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 7:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pawit Sornlaksup and Ryuki Matsuda in the M25 Mumbai, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pawit Sornlaksup' if Pawit Sornlaksup advances against Ryuki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Pawit Sornlaksup. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pawit Sornlaksup and Ryuki Matsuda in the M25 Mumbai, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pawit Sornlaksup' if Pawit Sornlaksup advances against Ryuki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Pawit Sornlaksup. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has a more informed participant base. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived using different mechanisms and participant incentives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, offering a real-time gauge of expectations for the M25 Mumbai match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Mumbai match between Pawit Sornlaksup and Ryuki Matsuda. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Oct 29, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions, or changes to the match schedule, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market is evolving and potentially identifying trading opportunities.