TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 5:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arjun Rathi and Garrett Johns in the M25 Mumbai, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arjun Rathi' if Arjun Rathi advances against Garrett Johns. This market will resolve to 'Garrett Johns' if Garrett Johns advances against Arjun Rathi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arjun Rathi and Garrett Johns in the M25 Mumbai, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arjun Rathi' if Arjun Rathi advances against Garrett Johns. This market will resolve to 'Garrett Johns' if Garrett Johns advances against Arjun Rathi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of market sentiment. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and confidence in the various possibilities.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arjun Rathi vs Garrett Johns match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either Arjun Rathi or Garrett Johns, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly impact trading activity. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, strategic adjustments, or even weather conditions on the day of the event could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements or public statements from either athlete or their teams could also serve as catalysts for price movement.