TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adhithya Ganesan and Hitesh Chauhan in the M25 Mumbai, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adhithya Ganesan' if Adhithya Ganesan advances against Hitesh Chauhan. This market will resolve to 'Hitesh Chauhan' if Hitesh Chauhan advances against Adhithya Ganesan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adhithya Ganesan and Hitesh Chauhan in the M25 Mumbai, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adhithya Ganesan' if Adhithya Ganesan advances against Hitesh Chauhan. This market will resolve to 'Hitesh Chauhan' if Hitesh Chauhan advances against Adhithya Ganesan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, prediction market odds can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the true probability of each outcome. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs. This creates a real-time, crowdsourced forecast for the M25 Mumbai match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Mumbai match, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this verified information. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to team strategy could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about weather conditions or venue changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders, often referred to as 'smart money,' can cause noticeable price movements. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the match can also play a role, influencing the collective beliefs of traders and driving price fluctuations until the resolution date.