TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladyslav Orlov and Daniel Masur in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladyslav Orlov' if Vladyslav Orlov advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Vladyslav Orlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladyslav Orlov and Daniel Masur in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladyslav Orlov' if Vladyslav Orlov advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Vladyslav Orlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market's pricing is driven by actual money being wagered. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, or when there's asymmetric information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. Comparing the two can reveal interesting insights into where the crowd believes value lies in the Orlov vs Masur match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Orlov vs Masur match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should ensure they are aware of the resolution date to manage their positions accordingly and understand when their predictions will be evaluated.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from the players themselves, could also cause the odds to move. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket can quickly shift prices, especially if they represent informed bets from sophisticated traders following the Orlov vs Masur match closely.