TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Umberto Maria Giovannini and Xavi Matas Ortega in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Umberto Maria Giovannini' if Umberto Maria Giovannini advances against Xavi Matas Ortega. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Matas Ortega' if Xavi Matas Ortega advances against Umberto Maria Giovannini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Umberto Maria Giovannini and Xavi Matas Ortega in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Umberto Maria Giovannini' if Umberto Maria Giovannini advances against Xavi Matas Ortega. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Matas Ortega' if Xavi Matas Ortega advances against Umberto Maria Giovannini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price climbs, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds closely align with the collective intelligence of the traders participating on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Malta tennis match between Umberto Maria Giovannini and Xavi Matas Ortega. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to determine which participant emerged victorious and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tennis reporting for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results for either Umberto Maria Giovannini or Xavi Matas Ortega, would likely have an impact. Unexpected changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns on Polymarket, could lead to price movements as traders adjust their positions based on new information.