TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomasz Bulat and Xavi Matas Ortega in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomasz Bulat' if Tomasz Bulat advances against Xavi Matas Ortega. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Matas Ortega' if Xavi Matas Ortega advances against Tomasz Bulat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomasz Bulat and Xavi Matas Ortega in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomasz Bulat' if Tomasz Bulat advances against Xavi Matas Ortega. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Matas Ortega' if Xavi Matas Ortega advances against Tomasz Bulat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M25 Malta tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Malta tennis match between Tomasz Bulat and Xavi Matas Ortega as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout according to the market’s pricing at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also shift sentiment. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding how this market evolves.