TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Constantinou and Juliusz Bienkiewicz in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Constantinou' if Samuel Constantinou advances against Juliusz Bienkiewicz. This market will resolve to 'Juliusz Bienkiewicz' if Juliusz Bienkiewicz advances against Samuel Constantinou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Constantinou and Juliusz Bienkiewicz in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Constantinou' if Samuel Constantinou advances against Juliusz Bienkiewicz. This market will resolve to 'Juliusz Bienkiewicz' if Juliusz Bienkiewicz advances against Samuel Constantinou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus view on the likely winner of the Malta M25 tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Samuel Constantinou versus Juliusz Bienkiewicz match within the M25 Malta tournament. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available and authoritative sources, ensuring an objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand the basis for resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, head-to-head records, or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also play a role. A surprising upset by either player in a preceding match would likely cause a substantial movement in the odds, as would any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely outcome.