TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 4:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Robert Strombachs and Daniel Masur in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robert Strombachs' if Robert Strombachs advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Robert Strombachs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Robert Strombachs and Daniel Masur in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robert Strombachs' if Robert Strombachs advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Robert Strombachs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by real-money wagers. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If a significant difference exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might signal an opportunity for arbitrage or indicate that one side has a stronger informational advantage.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Strombachs vs Masur match.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Robert Strombachs versus Daniel Masur match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 6, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also impact market sentiment. Public endorsements, expert analysis, and even social media discussions can contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the Strombachs vs Masur match.