TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petros Tsitsipas and Georgii Kravchenko in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petros Tsitsipas' if Petros Tsitsipas advances against Georgii Kravchenko. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Petros Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petros Tsitsipas and Georgii Kravchenko in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petros Tsitsipas' if Petros Tsitsipas advances against Georgii Kravchenko. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Petros Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the diverse opinions of participants. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might signal an opportunity for informed traders. It’s worth comparing the two to see where the perceived value lies, and whether the market is anticipating something different than conventional wisdom.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tsitsipas vs Kravchenko match. The platform will verify the winner through established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to Nov 4, 2026 for any developments that could impact the event.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even strategic announcements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could drive trading activity. Monitoring tennis news, player form, and expert predictions will be key to understanding potential movements in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026.