TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nils Watenphul and Tadija Radovanovic in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nils Watenphul' if Nils Watenphul advances against Tadija Radovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Tadija Radovanovic' if Tadija Radovanovic advances against Nils Watenphul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nils Watenphul and Tadija Radovanovic in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nils Watenphul' if Nils Watenphul advances against Tadija Radovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Tadija Radovanovic' if Tadija Radovanovic advances against Nils Watenphul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a constantly updated forecast for the M25 Malta tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Malta tennis match between Nils Watenphul and Tadija Radovanovic, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player, as determined by the official score, will be the outcome reflected in the market’s resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact predictions. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or significant shifts in public opinion could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting evolving expectations for the M25 Malta tennis match.