TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manas Dhamne and Aleksa Ciric in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manas Dhamne' if Manas Dhamne advances against Aleksa Ciric. This market will resolve to 'Aleksa Ciric' if Aleksa Ciric advances against Manas Dhamne. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manas Dhamne and Aleksa Ciric in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manas Dhamne' if Manas Dhamne advances against Aleksa Ciric. This market will resolve to 'Aleksa Ciric' if Aleksa Ciric advances against Manas Dhamne. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, sometimes differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell their predictions. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events related to the players involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Manas Dhamne vs Aleksa Ciric match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand – if more people want to buy shares predicting a specific outcome, the price goes up, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a probabilistic forecast for the event's result. The current price represents the market's estimated probability of that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Manas Dhamne vs Aleksa Ciric match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, authoritative data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed bettors could quickly move the price, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.