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OPEN INTEREST:
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410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Justus Petersilie and Juan Bautista Mantoni in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justus Petersilie' if Justus Petersilie advances against Juan Bautista Mantoni. This market will resolve to 'Juan Bautista Mantoni' if Juan Bautista Mantoni advances against Justus Petersilie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Justus Petersilie and Juan Bautista Mantoni in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justus Petersilie' if Justus Petersilie advances against Juan Bautista Mantoni. This market will resolve to 'Juan Bautista Mantoni' if Juan Bautista Mantoni advances against Justus Petersilie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and evolving sentiment regarding the M25 Malta tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Malta tennis match between Justus Petersilie and Juan Bautista Mantoni, as determined by the tournament organizers and reported by reputable sports news sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player might also impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in market confidence regarding the likely winner of the M25 Malta tennis match.