TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James MacKinlay and Tadija Radovanovic in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James MacKinlay' if James MacKinlay advances against Tadija Radovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Tadija Radovanovic' if Tadija Radovanovic advances against James MacKinlay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James MacKinlay and Tadija Radovanovic in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James MacKinlay' if James MacKinlay advances against Tadija Radovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Tadija Radovanovic' if Tadija Radovanovic advances against James MacKinlay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant amount of money flows towards one outcome, the price will adjust accordingly, potentially signaling information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the MacKinlay vs Radovanovic match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Polymarket, offering a dynamic and real-time view of expectations for the MacKinlay vs Radovanovic match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MacKinlay vs Radovanovic match, as determined by the governing body of the M25 Malta competition. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered based on publicly available information and established rules of the event. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions affecting the match could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or strategic approaches could also have a significant impact. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of shares in this market concerning the MacKinlay vs Radovanovic match.