TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James MacKinlay and Daniel Masur in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James MacKinlay' if James MacKinlay advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against James MacKinlay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James MacKinlay and Daniel Masur in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James MacKinlay' if James MacKinlay advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against James MacKinlay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Examining these differences can sometimes reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis for the MacKinlay vs Masur match.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the MacKinlay vs Masur match as reported by recognized sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either James MacKinlay or Daniel Masur’s form or preparation would likely cause price movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal a change in expectations, potentially shifting the probabilities associated with each outcome in the MacKinlay vs Masur match.