TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 2:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Garrett Johns and Cezar Cretu in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Garrett Johns' if Garrett Johns advances against Cezar Cretu. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Cezar Cretu advances against Garrett Johns. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Garrett Johns and Cezar Cretu in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Garrett Johns' if Garrett Johns advances against Cezar Cretu. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Cezar Cretu advances against Garrett Johns. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, adjusting dynamically as new information becomes available. This creates a real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Malta tennis match between Garrett Johns and Cezar Cretu, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or account for any losses based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis from tennis experts predicting a change in form for either player, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment.