TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Galea and Samuel De Felipe Garcia in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Galea' if Evan Galea advances against Samuel De Felipe Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Samuel De Felipe Garcia' if Samuel De Felipe Garcia advances against Evan Galea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Galea and Samuel De Felipe Garcia in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Galea' if Evan Galea advances against Samuel De Felipe Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Samuel De Felipe Garcia' if Samuel De Felipe Garcia advances against Evan Galea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ strengths. If significant differences emerge, it could suggest that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result in the Malta tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results, and the current volume is $2,476.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Evan Galea vs Samuel De Felipe Garcia tennis match in Malta. The platform will identify the winner based on publicly available match data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result of the Malta tennis match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any public statements from the players themselves or their coaches could introduce new information that affects the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds for this market.