TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Hegedus-Kyster and Tadija Radovanovic in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hegedus-Kyster' if Benjamin Hegedus-Kyster advances against Tadija Radovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Tadija Radovanovic' if Tadija Radovanovic advances against Benjamin Hegedus-Kyster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Hegedus-Kyster and Tadija Radovanovic in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hegedus-Kyster' if Benjamin Hegedus-Kyster advances against Tadija Radovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Tadija Radovanovic' if Tadija Radovanovic advances against Benjamin Hegedus-Kyster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Malta tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved based on publicly available and widely accepted sources of information regarding the match result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts, might also cause price fluctuations. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to impact trading activity and move the market’s price before Nov 2, 2026.