TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexey Alekseev and Nico Mueller-Spaeth in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Alekseev' if Alexey Alekseev advances against Nico Mueller-Spaeth. This market will resolve to 'Nico Mueller-Spaeth' if Nico Mueller-Spaeth advances against Alexey Alekseev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexey Alekseev and Nico Mueller-Spaeth in the M25 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Alekseev' if Alexey Alekseev advances against Nico Mueller-Spaeth. This market will resolve to 'Nico Mueller-Spaeth' if Nico Mueller-Spaeth advances against Alexey Alekseev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability of a particular outcome is reflected in the share price; a higher price indicates greater confidence in that outcome. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements that respond to news, analysis, and overall market sentiment surrounding the M25 Malta match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Malta match between Alexey Alekseev and Nico Mueller-Spaeth, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding the form or fitness of Alexey Alekseev or Nico Mueller-Spaeth, such as injury reports or recent performance data, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or changes to the tournament schedule could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in overall market perception, leading to price adjustments in this market.