TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandr Braynin and Nikolai Barsukov in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandr Braynin' if Aleksandr Braynin advances against Nikolai Barsukov. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Aleksandr Braynin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandr Braynin and Nikolai Barsukov in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandr Braynin' if Aleksandr Braynin advances against Nikolai Barsukov. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Aleksandr Braynin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how public sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and risk assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is reflected in the share price, which fluctuates based on supply and demand within the market.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aleksandr Braynin vs Nikolai Barsukov match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Aleksandr Braynin or Nikolai Barsukov – such as injuries or illness – would likely impact trading activity. Changes in public perception, driven by pre-match analysis or commentary, could also influence the market. Finally, any unexpected developments related to the match itself, like venue changes or rule adjustments, could lead to shifts in the implied probabilities reflected in this market.