TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alberto Bronzetti and James MacKinlay in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alberto Bronzetti' if Alberto Bronzetti advances against James MacKinlay. This market will resolve to 'James MacKinlay' if James MacKinlay advances against Alberto Bronzetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alberto Bronzetti and James MacKinlay in the M25 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alberto Bronzetti' if Alberto Bronzetti advances against James MacKinlay. This market will resolve to 'James MacKinlay' if James MacKinlay advances against Alberto Bronzetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It's common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, sportsbooks and prediction markets may converge as new information becomes available and the event draws nearer. This market provides a unique perspective on the potential outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bronzetti vs MacKinlay match, as reported by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market is evolving and potentially identifying profitable trading opportunities.